UGA Paint Line

Supporting the Dawgs For 18 Years and Counting

UGA Paint Line - Supporting the Dawgs For 18 Years and Counting

UGA vs GT 2016

For the 111th time, the Georgia Bulldogs will face off against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets for the state title of best team. For Georgia, it is about the seniors last game at Sanford Stadium and wanting to go out with a win. For Georgia Tech, it is about reclaiming the Governor’s Cup trophy and winning in Athens for a second straight time. Both teams come into the game with a 7-4 record as well as well as going 4-4 in conference play. In addition, the Dawgs and Yellow Jackets have each faced two common opponents on their schedule this far, North Carolina and Vanderbilt. Georgia and Tech each went 1-1 in those games, winning against the opposite teams. Georgia opened their year with a 33-24 win against North Carolina while Tech lost in Chapel Hill to the Tar Heels 48-20. On the other hand, Tech beat Vanderbilt at home 38-7 while Georgia lost 17-16 back in October.
Looking at the series history of the Dawgs and Jackets, Georgia has done well in this series of late. Winning 13 of the last 15 meetings or 20 of the last 25 games. During that span, Georgia has two separate 7 game winning streaks (1991-1997 and 2001-2007). Though it should be noted that 4 of Georgia Tech’s 5 wins since 1991 have come at Sanford Stadium in Athens. Including the last meeting in 2014, with Tech winning in Overtime 30-24. It happened after Tech kicker Harrison Butker kicking a game-tying 53 yard field goal at the end of regulation and Georgia Quarterback Hutson Mason throwing a pick in Overtime to seal the victory for Tech. Last year’s game in Atlanta was a low-scoring affair with Georgia prevailing 13-7 behind Sony Michel’s 149 yard performance and Georgia’s defense forcing 3 turnovers. The last play of the game was a Malkom Parrish interception, which ended up being the last play for head coach Mark Richt, finishing 13-2 in the state rivalry. For Kirby Smart to have similar success, let us look at the 3 keys to the game.
The first key will be Georgia’s ability to control time of possession much like the Auburn game, in fact Georgia Tech’s defense is on the field for an average of 10 more plays a game than their offense. So, Georgia’s ability to convert third downs to keep the chains moving will prevent Justin Thomas and company from finding a rhythm. It also helps that Georgia Tech’s offense is 112th in the country in first downs, with only 195 on the season. The second key will be Georgia’s ability to contain Tech’s A backs which line up on the edge. Georgia has done well on stuffing the run up the middle but not so much on the edge. Tech’s motions with their A backs can cause confusion, especially when both run to the same side as one acts as a lead blocker for the other. So, Georgia will need good games from both Davin Bellamy and Lorenzo Carter in order to win. Finally, Georgia needs to continue to do well in the passing game against Tech, who has the 88th pass defense in the country as well as being 108th in the country in sacks with only 16. Look for Eason to connect with Riley Ridley and Javon Wims on the deep ball, both whom Eason is more comfortable with in the 12th game.
With all of that being said, I expect both teams to run the ball a lot, meaning the clock will be running more, thus each possession is crucial. The line for the game is 4 ½ for Georgia which seems about right, look for Georgia to win a close ballgame 21-17 and improve to 8-4 on the regular season. With a win against Tech, Georgia would improve to 2-2 on the season against their 4 biggest rivals (Tennessee, Florida, Auburn, and Tech). Georgia has beaten at least 2 of the 4 in every year since 2001, so Georgia needs a victory on Saturday to keep the streak alive. In fact, it would be the 4th time in the last ten years (2006, 2009, 2015, & 2016) that Georgia would start off 0-2 (losses to Tennessee and Florida) and finish 2-0 (wins against Auburn and Tech). So lets hope Kirby Smart starts off on the right foot and beats Georgia Tech in his first year.

God Bless and Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

UGA vs ULL

For the second straight week, the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin Cajuns travel to the state of Georgia for their game. Last week, Lafayette won down in Statesboro 33-26 against the Georgia Southern Eagles. The number two is a common theme here, as this will be the second matchup between these schools all-time. The previous meeting was to kick off the 2010 season, with UGA winning 55-7 in Aaron Murray’s first game as Quarterback. Finally, two of Louisiana Lafayette’s losses this year have come in multiple overtimes, so they are just a few plays away from being over .500 rather than 4-5 overall.

Now to the keys of the game, the main key will be the secondary of Georgia limiting the Rajin Cajuns in the vertical passing game. Quarterback Anthony Jennings has seen his fair share of SEC defenses, having been the former starting quarterback of LSU. Jennings number one target is Wide Receiver Keenan Barnes, who already has 6 touchdowns on the year. So look for Malkom Parrish to cover Barnes as much as possible to eliminate that threat. The second key will be Georgia’s ability to call plays away from Cajuns Freshman Linebacker Joe Dillion, who already has 6 sacks on the season. He’s arguably the best middle linebacker Georgia has faced since Vanderbilt’s Zach Cunningham, and we all know how that turned out. Finally, Georgia will need to continue to stuff the run up the middle. Louisiana Lafayette’s leading Tailback is only averaging 4.8 yards per carry. So if the Dawgs continue their positive trend of late, I do not see this being a very close game unlike every other game this year. There is room to be cautious, as Georgia only beat Nicholls State by 2, but I think Georgia will be more focused this time around for a noon kick. I see Georgia winning this game by a score of 35-14. Hopefully the fans enjoy seeing the black jerseys for the first time since the 2008 Alabama game, and lets hope the outcome is far better than that night.

God Bless and Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

UGA vs Auburn 2016

Before we talk football, I hope we all remember this is Veterans Day weekend, so thank you to all of the men and women who have served in our military. Festivities for veterans day weekend include a flyover before the game which is always a very cool moment.

Now to the game, the Georgia Bulldogs welcome a top ten opponent in the Auburn Tigers to Sanford Stadium. A place the visiting Tigers/War Eagle/Plainsmen/whatever mascot has not won since the 2005 game. In that game the Tigers converted a 4th and 10 to Wide Receiver Devin Aromashadu who took the ball all the way to the Georgia one yard line. The Tigers converted a game winning field goal to win 31-30, though the Dawgs clinched the SEC East the next week. For the more recent meetings, Georgia has won the last two games against Auburn. Last year at Jordan-Hare Stadium, Georgia came from behind in the second half to win 20-13 behind two Isaiah McKenzie touchdowns. That win catapulted Georgia to the lead in the all-time series 56-55-8. Winning ten of the last fifteen matchups against Auburn helped Georgia catch up. The most famous of those ten wins this century would have to be the 2007 game where Georgia ran out in black jerseys for the first time. That was the loudest I’ve ever heard Sanford Stadium as the Dawgs fed of their energy to win 45-20 behind tailback Knowshon Moreno’s two touchdowns.

Now towards this matchup, the biggest key will be Georgia’s ability to load the box to stop Auburn’s Kamryn Pettway. Pettway has run for at least 123 yards in every game he has played in except the LSU game. Georgia will have to force Sean White to beat them through the air. The second key will be Georgia’s ability to convert touchdowns in the red zone. Last week against Kentucky Georgia had to settle for 3 field goals, which will not cut it against Auburn, who has the 16th best red zone defense in America. Finally, Jacob Eason is going to have to convert the deep ball this game. Auburn’s Defensive Line is stout, so they’ll be stuffing Nick Chubb and Sony Michel I expect based on Georgia’s Offensive Line. So Eason will have to win this game on his own, even if he doesn’t convert them all, hopefully Auburn will be called for a few pass interferences. Auburn is 6th in the country in fewest penalty yards per game so hopefully Eason will exploit them this week.

When it’s all said and done, I expect Auburn to cover the spread of ten points and win 31-20. I think Georgia has been doing well on the interior rush defense but expect Pettway to follow his tendency to bounce it outside and break a few long runs. I fully expect Auburn to control the time of possession and put the game away in the second half. If Georgia does lose, it would be the first time since 1962 that Georgia has not won a SEC home game in a season. That type of statistic does not speak well of Kirby Smart’s first year as head coach as well as the overall state of the program. As always, I hope I am wrong when I pick against Georgia, but my faith in the upset happening is only about 20%.

God Bless and Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

UGA vs Florida 2016

The 2016 edition of the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party takes place tomorrow at 3:30 PM along the banks of the St. John’s River. It’ll will be Kirby Smart’s first time being a head coach in the rivalry after going 1-3 as a player (1995-1998) and 0-1 as an assistant coach at Georgia in 2005. Smart will be facing an old co-worker, in Jim McElwain, who worked with Kirby as an assistant coach at Alabama from 2008-2011.
McElwain is 1-0 in this annual rivalry after a 27-3 win last year in Jacksonville. Smart will have his work cut out for him to start off 1-0 in this series, as Vegas has the Dawgs as a 7 ½ point underdog. Though, this is familiar territory for UGA in this game as they’ve been the underdog quite often since 1990 when Steve Spurrier took over for the Gators. Three times in the last twenty years Georgia has won the game outright when being at least 7 ½ point underdogs. In 1997, the Dawgs rode the coattails of tailback Robert Edwards four touchdowns in a huge upset win 37-17 against the defending national champion Gators. Ten years later on October 27, 2007, history repeated itself, as Georgia infamously rushed the field in the first quarter after running back Knowshon Moreno’s 1 yard TD run. Moreno carried that momentum for the rest of the game with 188 yards and 2 more touchdowns in a huge upset win 42-30. It was the only time Mark Richt beat Urban Meyer as well as the only time Heisman trophy winner Tim Tebow lost to Georgia. Finally, exactly five years later on October 27, 2012 the #10 Dawgs upset the undefeated and #2 Gators 17-9 in my favorite Cocktail Party game. UGA forced six turnovers from the help of “Gator Killer” #29 OLB Jarvis Jones, including his game clinching forced fumble on UF’s Jordan Reed on the UGA goal line with 2 minutes left in the game. This picture says it all from the 2012 game. (http://jacksonville.com/sites/default/files/11678361.jpg)
Now the three keys to the game, it all starts with how Georgia fares in the passing game versus the Gators secondary. Freshman Quarterback Jacob Eason will want to avoid the freshman tendency to stare down receivers as the Gators Jalen Tabor and Quincy Wilson are known for making interceptions. I personally think it’s key for Georgia to win the matchups in the slot. Tight End Isaac Nauta could pose as a mismatch for Florida, so look for the Tight Ends to be targeted more than usual. The second key is which UGA secondary player lines up against UF receiver Antonio Callaway. Antonio can run past anybody as he showcased in last year’s game with a 66 yard touchdown catch. I expect a safety to help in double teams on Callaway so that history does not repeat itself. Finally, Georgia is going to have to make Florida QB Luke Del Rio uncomfortable in his first cocktail party game. In Luke’s last outing two weeks ago, he threw 3 interceptions in a 40-14 win against Missouri. So, it is possible for Mel Tucker and Kirby Smart to look at that film and decide to dial up different split coverages during a play to confuse Del Rio.
With all that said, I expect Florida to do what they typically do, beat Georgia in Jacksonville. I see this as a low scoring game along the lines of 24-13 based on both defenses being better than the offenses they are going against. I just cannot convince myself UGA will beat Florida after losing at home to Derek Mason and Vanderbilt. This will be my third trek down to Jacksonville for this rivalry, in 2010 I saw Aaron Murray and Georgia lose in OT 34-31 in Urban Meyer’s last year. Then I was at the game last year known as the “Faton Bauta game” in which Georgia again lost 27-3. I’ll be cheering on the Dawgs tomorrow from EverBank Field hoping “third time’s the charm”.
God Bless and Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

UGA vs Vanderbilt 2016

The Georgia Bulldogs return home this week to face the 2-4 Vanderbilt Commodores. Since 1990, Vanderbilt has been the Homecoming game for Georgia every even year except 2012 (Ole Miss). Twice during that span the Commodores have spoiled Homecoming with upset wins in 1994 43-30 and 2006 24-22. The game ten years ago came down to a go ahead Field Goal as time expired for a Vandy win after UGA’s Tony Taylor had the go ahead pick six earlier in the fourth quarter to make the score 22-21.
A more recent recap of the series shows that Georgia has won the last 2 meetings, 31-14 last year, and 44-17 in 2014 here in Athens. The 2013 matchup would be voted as the most interesting game in the last 5 years when Georgia led 27-14 only to lose 31-27. Many UGA fans will argue how targeting lost them the game that day in Nashville. It was the first year of the rule and back then even if the targeting penalty was taken away, the offense still received an automatic first down. With the Dawgs up 27-24, Vandy faced a 4th down late in the game. QB Paton Robinette threw a pass over the middle and UGA Linebacker Ramik Wilson struck the receiver to knock the ball loose. Georgia was celebrating a turnover on downs and a close fought win on the road, however Wilson was flagged for targeting the receiver. The replay officials overturned the targeting call but Vandy was still awarded a 15 yard penalty and first and goal. Needless to say the Commodores scored a Touchdown to win the game 31-27, another “how did we lose this game?” question in 2013 (at Clemson, at Auburn, and vs Nebraska in Bowl Game also fit that category in 2013.)

For Derek Mason’s squad to upset UGA on Homecoming like it did ten years ago, they will have to excel in the 3 keys to the game. One, Vandy Linebacker Zach Cunningham will have to stuff the Georgia running game. Zach lead the Dores in tackles, tackles for loss, and sacks last year as a sophomore. Last week UGA’s offensive line was able to get to the second level of blocking USC’s linebackers which is why the Dawgs had over 300 yards rushing. For Vandy to not let this happen again, Cunningham is going to have to lead the Vandy Defense or Chubb may run for more than his 189 yards in last year’s game. Second, QB Kyle Shurmur needs to connect on deep ball opportunities to avoid Georgia stacking the box against tailback Ralph Webb. Shurmur has connected with freshman receiver Kalijia Lipscomb for two of his three touchdown passes so far this season. Lipscomb will have the opportunity to get passed UGA’s corners who have let receivers get behind them in every single game. Finally, Vanderbilt will need to have a trick play up their sleeve for momentum’s sake. Maybe a fake punt or onside kick to sway the momentum from the home team, because if not it could get ugly. UGA may only be a 13 ½ point favorite in Vegas, but the talent gap between the two teams is large.

I expect Georgia to follow the same game plan as last week, run the ball and make the opposing average quarterback hurt you. Georgia is at home and desperately wants to get above .500 in conference play, which is why I see UGA winning 35-10. Though, you always have to be aware of noon kickoffs at home with the crowd piling in late and the team coming out not energetic. Just say the words “Nicholls State”
God Bless and Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

UGA vs Tennessee 2016

This Saturday the Georgia Bulldogs welcome the 11th ranked Tennessee Volunteers into Sanford Stadium for their annual clash. It will be the Dawgs first SEC home of the year while Tennessee travels for their first road game of the year. The Volunteers are looking to win at Sanford Stadium for the first time since 2006 when Tennessee came back from a 24-7 deficit to defeat Georgia 51-33 and make the Sports Illustrated cover for that week. (image: http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/116468/1016_large.jpg ) The Volunteers come in as the favorite in this matchup after a thrilling come from behind win in Knoxville last week against Florida. The Vols were down 21-0 before scoring 38 unanswered points and winning 38-28, their first win over the Gators since 2004. On the other end of the momentum spectrum, Georgia is limping into this game after being blown out in Oxford last week 45-14 at the hands of Chad Kelly and Ole Miss. In addition, there is uncertainty regarding tailback Nick Chubb’s availability for this game. Chubb experienced an ankle sprain last week which is frustrating because everyone knows he wants revenge against Tennessee after his catastrophic injury in last years game at Neyland Stadium.

For some background history on this series, Tennessee leads the all-time series 22-21-2. Though it should be noted UGA has done some serious catching up since 2000, winning 11 of the last 16 games. Also, Tennessee has won 9 times in Sanford Stadium out of the total of 19 games played in Athens. The last time these two teams faced each other in Athens was on September 27, 2014, with UGA winning 35-32. Georgia was lead by Todd Gurley’s 208 rushing yards (career high) 2 TD’s and 1 famous hurdle (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pkwQDmMHVj0) The year before in 2013 was one of the craziest games I’ve ever been to personally as Georgia won on a game winning 42yd Field Goal from Marshall Morgan in Overtime to win 34-31 at Neyland Stadium. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=092eHjKDwAo&list=PLiPlqZrCIoYPJ4fLo0ijQz2ACZ1cUi6cB) Tennessee’s Pig Howard had fumbled the ball into the endzone on their possession causing a touchback, which is why Georgia only needed a FG to win. Before that, Georgia was down by 7 with two minutes to play when Aaron Murray lead a drive that ended with WR Rantavious Wooten catching a 2 yd slant route with 5 seconds left, sending the game to Overtime.

Looking towards this matchup, I think the biggest key is Georgia containing Josh Dobbs as far as his scrambling ability. I’d use linebacker #3 Roquan Smith to spy on Dobbs, so that containment is not lost. Smith is the best UGA linebacker at playing boundary to boundary, regarding speed, since Alec Ogletree in 2012 in my opinion. Second, UGA needs to use an extra blocker on Tennessee’s Derek Barnett, whether it’s a running back or Tight End, LT #72 Tyler Catalina has shown he cannot handle elite pass rushers one on one. The final key is Georgia’s ability to convert 3rd downs on offense. Last week Georgia went 4/16 or 25% against Ole Miss which is unacceptable. They’ll have their hands full again this week as Tennessee was 2nd in the country last year on defensive 3rd downs, only allowing their opponents to convert 27% of the time according to the official NCAA site.

This game is pivotal for Georgia if it wants to stay in the race for the SEC East. I have not seen improvement in Kirby Smart’s team since the first game against North

Carolina and quite frankly cannot expect to suddenly see it this week. Tennessee has the better players and momentum which is why I think they beat Georgia 31-24 in Athens. Again, I hope I’m wrong but I will always predict games objectively.

God Bless and Go Dawgs!

Tyler Agee

UGA @ Ole Miss 2016

The 3-0 Georgia Bulldogs go on the road for the second straight week to take on the #23 ranked Ole Miss Rebels at 12 eastern time. (UGA has won their last 4 games on the road which started at noon. Last loss was 2013 at Vanderbilt 31-27.) Though, in my opinion this will be the toughest road game UGA has had at noon in quite awhile. The Las Vegas odds makers agree as UGA is a 7 point underdog, the largest margin since the 2012 SEC Championship game against Alabama.

Some background history of this series, UGA leads the all time series 32-12-1, including winning the last 10 matchups. The last time Ole Miss defeated UGA was in 1996 31-27 in Athens. The most recent game occurred in 2012 in Athens, with UGA winning 37-10, scoring 37 unanswered points after trailing Ole Miss 10-0 in the second quarter. Aaron Murray lead Georgia throwing for 384 yards and 4 TD’s as well as Marlon Brown having 113 receiving yards and 1 TD from 66 yards on a beautiful play action pass. (Video clip here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OXg1buCNOwU) The last time UGA visited Oxford was exactly 5 years ago on September 24, 2011, with the Dawgs winning 27-13 behind tailback Isaiah Crowell’s 147 yards and Safety Bacarri Rambo’s 2 interceptions. In fact, Georgia has won their last 5 games in Oxford dating back to 1997.

Fast forward to this game and there are some intriguing matchups that will determine who wins the ballgame. First, Georgia is going to have to capitalize if Ole Miss turns the ball over which should happened given the way Ole Miss has played the first 3 weeks. Last week against Missouri, UGA got zero points off five Missouri turnovers and was lucky to pull out a one point victory. Second, I’d like to see UGA play more press coverage with the corners and star while having the 2 safeties over top either in Cover 2 or 2 Man Under. Personally, I do not think Strong Safety Quincy Mauger will need to come down in the box much for run support, as Ole Miss struggles running the ball. Finally, it sounds like a broken record but the Georgia Offensive Line needs to play well in the run blocking aspect for Georgia to have a shot. Ole Miss is 13th out of 14th in the SEC in run defense but remember Georgia struggled against Nicholls State. In addition, I’d like to see Offensive Coordinator Jim Chaney call more toss sweeps/outside runs as Nick Chubb had zero toss sweep runs last week against Missouri.

After all the background history and intriguing matchups leading up to this game between two ranked teams, I expect Ole Miss to win 38-28. My heart wants to UGA to win, but my head tells me otherwise. If Drew Lock can throw for over 300 yards in the first half last week against Georgia, Chad Kelly could do the same but more. Kelly has set an Ole Miss school record for at least 1 touchdown pass in 16 straight games passing Eli Manning.

I’ll be cheering the Dawgs in Oxford this weekend with my roommate, my first trip to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Hopefully the Dawgs will prove me wrong and come home with a victory. No matter what happens, it will be a true southern football experience tailgating at the Grove!

God Bless!

Tyler Agee, Senior Business Management

UGA vs Missouri 2016

The Georgia Bulldogs open SEC play this weekend on the road in Columbia, Missouri at Faurot Field against the 1-1 Missouri Tigers. An interesting note is the fact that this will be the first SEC game for both head coaches in Kirby Smart and Barry Odom, both whom are coaching their alma mater. (The last time 2 new SEC head coaches faced each other in their SEC opener was 2003 between Kentucky’s Rich Brooks and Alabama’s Mike Shula.) Smart was the defensive coordinator at Alabama for the last 8 years, 2008-2015, under the tutelage of Nick Saban winning 4 National and SEC Championships each. While, Odom made the transition from defensive coordinator to head coach of Missouri after one season.

The first meeting between these two teams goes all the way back to the 1959-1960 season in the Orange Bowl in Miami where Hall of Fame Coach Wally Butts lead Georgia to a 14-0 victory. These teams did not play again until Missouri joined the SEC in 2012. That year was similar to this season in that Missouri’s first SEC game was at home against Georgia. Led by James Franklin Missouri held a 20-17 lead midway through the 3rd quarter before Georgia scored 24 unanswered points to win 41-20. Georgia was lead offensively by Marlon Brown’s 2 touchdown catches and defensively by Jarvis Jones’s 2 sacks, 1 INT, and 1 FF. In 2013, Missouri visited Athens for the first time and upset #7 Georgia 41-26 behind Mizzou’s stout defense of Shane Ray and Michael Sam’s fumble return for a TD. In 2014, #13 Georgia again visited #23 Missouri and had their most dominant performance of the season in a 34-0 win without suspended Todd Gurley. Missouri had 5 turnovers (4 INT’s, 2 #20 Mauger, 1 #5Swann, and 1 #24 Sanders plus 1 Fumble forced by #84 Floyd) in addition to only having 97 yards of total offense. (I was personally at that game and thoroughly enjoyed seeing Missouri fans leave at halftime after talking before the game that UGA had no shot without Gurley.) Finally, last year’s game in Athens was a defensive ballgame where 5 field goals were made total and UGA winning 9-6. The unsung hero of that game was walk-on wide receiver Kenneth Towns #86 hustling on the first play of the game. Greyson Lambert threw an interception to Ian Simon who returned in 39 yards but was tackled on the 1 yard line by Towns. Mizzou was stuffed 3 straight plays and had to settle for a 3 point FG instead of 7 points from a TD. Those 4 points that were left off the scoreboard by Mizzou turned out to be the difference as UGA won by 3.

As we turn to this Saturday’s matchup, I think the #1 key to the game is UGA’s interior offensive lineman vs Mizzou’s defensive tackles. LG #77 Isaiah Wynn, C #54 Brandon Kublanow and RG #53 Lamont Gaillard will have their hands full after struggling mightily last week against Nicholls State. Nick Chubb had his first start two years ago at Missouri, 38 carries 143 yards and 1 TD of 9 yards, will want to rebound after being held under 100 yards rushing for the first time in his career as a starter. (2015 Tennessee doesn’t count, he played 1 play before hurting his knee) The #2 key will be no special teams turnovers/ giving up big plays. Thus far through 2 weeks, the special teams unit looks worse than under the Richt regime. Coordinator Shane Beamer has a lot improving to do under this before it resembles “Beamer Ball”, like it did when he was at Virginia Tech. The last key will be the veteran secondary of Georgia vs Missouri’s wide receivers. Dominick Sanders will want to make amends after being ejected for targeting in last year’s game. Whereas, transfer receiver Chris Black headlines Missouri’s unit after being a 5 star player out of high school in Jacksonville but was overshadowed by Amari Cooper and Calvin Ridley while at Alabama.

After all the breakdowns and reviews of past meetings, I expect Georgia to rely heavily on the healed Nick Chubb and Sony Michel and win a low scoring game 23-14.

Tyler Agee

Senior, Business Management