UGA Paint Line

Supporting the Dawgs For 20 Years and Counting

UGA Paint Line - Supporting the Dawgs For 20 Years and Counting

2018 National Championship: Georgia vs Alabama

IMG_2968For the first time since January 1, 1983, the Georgia Bulldogs will be playing for the National Championship game, and it happens to take place just down the road in Atlanta. Georgia returns to the site of their SEC Championship win after traveling to Pasadena, California on New Year’s Day, defeating the #2 seed Oklahoma Sooners 54-48 2 OT in an instant Rose Bowl classic. This final game will take place against SEC West foe Alabama, a team Georgia has not beaten since Nick Saban’s first year with the Crimson Tide in 2007. The Tide holds a three-game win streak against UGA, winning in Athens in 2008 (41-30) and 2015 (38-10) while also defeating Georgia in 2012 at the old Georgia Dome 32-28 for the SEC title.
Georgia’s coach Kirby Smart, was the defensive coordinator during the previous 3 meetings when the Tide won from 2008-2015. Smart was a part of Saban’s staff that won 4 National Championships in: 2009, 2011, 2012, & 2015. Now in his second year as head coach at Georgia, Smart is trying to follow the trend of coaches winning a National Championship in their second year with a program this century: Gene Chizik Auburn 2010, Urban Meyer Florida 2006, Jim Tressel Ohio State 2002, & Bob Stoops Oklahoma 2000. Smart will be faced with the task of trying to beat his former boss, Saban, who is 11-0 against his former assistant coaches.
For Kirby Smart to be the first assistant to accomplish this feat, here is what must happen. First, Jake Fromm will have to convert at least 50 % of his third down passes as well as keep a few read-pass options. His ability to be mobile is what Saban’s defenses have struggled the most with. Next, it will be important for Georgia’s offensive line to reach the second level to block Alabama linebackers for Chubb and Michel to run. This Alabama linebacking group is wounded as well not as talented as groups Georgia has faced in the past. If Georgia can average 4 yards per carry in this game, they should win since the Tide average giving up 2.7 yards per carry. (#1 in the country) Finally, Georgia’s ability to stop Alabama’s offense on 3rd downs will be crucial. The Tide are ranked 45th in the country at 42.1 % for conversion rate. If Georgia can pressure Jalen Hurts enough to prevent him from throwing to his main target Calvin Ridley, it would be huge. Hurts is ranked #73 in the country with only 2,060 passing yards through 13 games, so it is crucial for Georgia to continue that trend since he is also a mobile runner with 808 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns.
People in the sports world have been breaking down every angle of this game since it was set last week, comparing every facet of the two teams to determine an edge. In reality, these two programs are mirrored in their approach of strong defenses, running games, and quarterbacks that manage their opportunities very well. If Jake Fromm can move the chains through the air as well as not commit turnovers, Georgia can win this game. Jake may still be a true freshman, but his 63.7% completion percentage, 4.6 TD/INT ratio (23 TD, 5 INT) and 9.2 yard per attempt suggest this stage is not too big for him. It has been a magical year for Georgia fans: winning at Notre Dame 20-19 with half the stadium red, shutting out Tennessee 41-0 in Knoxville, destroying both Florida 42-7 and Georgia Tech 38-7, to avenging Auburn 28-7 in the SEC Championship, to finally last week coming from behind 31-14 against Oklahoma and their Heisman trophy QB Baker Mayfield to win in Doubt OT 54-48. I see Georgia winning this game 24-21 behind a game-winning Nick Chubb Touchdown. It would fitting for that to happen, after Sony Michel had the game-winning touchdown against Oklahoma from 27 yards out. To see both former 5-star running backs score game-winning touchdowns in the College Football Playoff after 4 years of ups and downs on the offensive line, injuries, and 3 different running backs coaches would be unbelievable. They came back for their senior season, that has resulted in a combined 2,449 yards, 7.2 YPC, and 31 TD’s so far. This game is for them to prove one last time they are the greatest Running Back duo in College Football history!
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

Rose Bowl UGA vs. Oklahoma


IMG_2890

The Grandaddy of Them All

On January 1, 2018, the Georgia Bulldogs football team will take the field at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California with all their goals still in reach. For the first time in 35 years, a chance to win the national championship is still in play during the bowl season, when Georgia faced Penn State in the Sugar Bowl on January 1, 1983. In addition, for the first time in 75 years, Georgia will play in the Rose Bowl, where they won the 1942 National Championship behind Heisman Quarterback Frank Sinkwich. This time around, it will be Georgia facing the Heisman winner, in Baker Mayfield. He is the Quarterback of the Oklahoma Sooners, a storied program whom Georgia will be facing on the gridiron for the first time ever.
Both teams come into this game as champions of their conference, as well as young head coaches that are coaching in their first playoff game. Everything else about these teams seems to be opposite while comparing. Oklahoma’s strength is passing through the air behind Mayfield, while Georgia was lead by a strong senior backfield and a suffocating defense. It would be easy to say, whichever of these groups out-performs the other will win the game, but with a month of preparation you never know. Very few people know, Oklahoma also leads the Big 12 in rushing this year behind Rodney Anderson. At the same time, Oklahoma’s punt coverage and kickoff coverage are towards the bottom in the country, creating a possibility for Mecole Hardman and company to have a fun afternoon. In addition, Jake Fromm leads the country in efficiency on deep ball passes as well as third downs.
With all that being said, I wholeheartedly believe the game will come down to Roquan Smith’s ability to contain Baker Mayfield and Rodney Anderson. The Sooners offense will have their big play moments, but with the game on the line which side will make the deciding play? At Notre Dame back on September 9th it was Davin Bellamy forcing a strip sack and fumble recovery to secure a 20-19 win with 1:27 left to play. This time, Georgia fans can only hope for the same result as that September night in South Bend. For Georgia fans, I expect a similar showing as the 30,000 plus that flocked north to Chicago for Brewers @ Cubs, Falcons @ Bears, and most importantly Georgia @ Notre Dame in South Bend. It has been a dream season for Georgia fans: winning at Notre Dame by 1, shutting Tennessee out at Neyland Stadium, beating Florida by 35 for the first time since a 1982 44-0 win, beating Tech by 31, and avenging a loss to Auburn by winning their first SEC Championship in 12 years at the brand-new Merecedes-Benz Stadium. I see Georgia continuing their magical season with a 31-27 win over Oklahoma in the Rose Bowl to head back to Atlanta for the National Championship. Having a month to prepare for a high-potent Sooners offense is the reason I give Georgia the edge. Had the Bulldogs only had a week to prepare, like a regular season game, I do not believe Georgia would be successful. Though in the past, Oklahoma’s high scoring offenses have struggled in high profile bowl games. In the 2003 National Championship against LSU, Heisman Quarterback Jason White only led Oklahoma to 14 points. The very next year in the 2004 National Championship, White and Adrian Peterson only scored 19 points against USC down in Miami. Finally, in 2008, Heisman Quarterback Sam Bradford was held to 14 points again in the national Championship against Tim Tebow and the Florida Gators.
I believe Georgia’s 2017 defense is comparable to the ones mentioned above. I also believe Mayfield is a better college Quarterback than the ones mentioned above, which is why I believe Oklahoma will score 27 points, rather than the 14-19 range. My final point will be, Oklahoma beat their Big 12 opponents by an average of 16 points this year, with close wins of 5 points over 6-6 Texas, 8 points over 1-11 Baylor, and 7 points over 7-5 Kansas State. On the other hand, Georgia beat their SEC opponents by an average of 24.9 points per game with their closest winning margin being 14 points against 8-4 South Carolina.
For the fans making the trip out west to California, enjoy the parade as well as the other festivities surrounding the College Football Playoff game.
God Bless and Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

UGA vs GT 2017

IMG_2666

These senior’s last game against Tech, peep Paintline in the background

The final leg of Georgia’s 2017 revenge tour takes place this Saturday against Georgia Tech at Bobby Dodd Stadium. The Bulldogs are 3-0 against teams that beat them in 2016, (Tennessee, Vanderbilt, & Florida) and look to finish strong against the Yellow Jackets in Atlanta. Georgia looks to continue their tremendous success at Bobby Dodd Stadium, winning their last 8 times there as well as 12 of the last 13 since 1991. (1999 OT loss 51-48)
For the Dawgs to prevent Georgia Tech from coming away with a victory this Saturday, it must first stop Tech from having their occasional big pass play to Ricky Jeune or Brad Stewart. Jeune has 507 yards receiving on only 23 catches and Stewart can turn one mistake into 6 points like he did two weeks ago against Virginia Tech. UGA’s Secondary should be motivated enough by the 64-yard pass to Brad Stewart late in the game last year to be motivated. The other area Georgia should really focus on is turnovers. The three times Paul Johnson has beaten Georgia, they have needed a crucial turnover to be victorious. In 2008, Matthew Stafford threw a pick six to Morgan Burnett, in 2014 Nick Chubb and Sony Michel both fumbled inside Tech’s 2-yard line, and last year Jacob Eason threw an interception when Georgia was trying to run out the clock up 27-21. If Jake Fromm can protect the ball, meaning zero interceptions, Georgia fans should have no reason to believe they can lose this game. All 5 of Fromm’s interceptions have been on short passes of under 15 yards: slant (Tennessee & Kentucky) and Out pattern (Notre Dame, Missouri, & Florida).
It has been mentioned frequently this week that Chubb, Michel, Lorenzo Carter, and Bellamy all came back for their senior years in part because Georgia Tech beat them last year, followed by them tearing up the hedges. The first part of their decision was wise, as the four of them ended up winning their last game at Sanford last week against Kentucky rather than it being last year’s loss to Tech. The second part involves them winning tomorrow against the Jackets to even their career record to 2-2. This senior class would be the first class since 2000 to lose to Tech three times, and Kirby Smart does not want to lose two in a row to Tech, something that got his college coach Jim Donnan fired. (3 straight losses) I see Georgia winning tomorrow 31-17, just like they did in 1992, 2001, 2007, & 2011 against Tech.
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

Senior Day- Georgia vs Kentucky

IMG_2638Photo belonging to Georgia Football

For the last time at Sanford Stadium, Senior Tailbacks Nick Chubb and Sony Michel will suit up between the Hedges. They came to Athens from different backgrounds, Michel from urban Miami, Chubb from rural Cedartown in West Georgia, but that did not stop the bond that would grow over 4 years. Some recruiting services had Michel rated higher, others Chubb, but none could deny the 5-star talent Georgia was getting. In addition, their different running styles blended remarkably well together. Chubb is regarded as Thunder, a downhill runner that will run through you, Michel is referred as lightning, someone who will run past you. Though, each has shown the ability to display both tendencies as they have rushed for 7,460 yards, 6.09 YPC and 65 touchdowns between them. In 2014, Chubb was asked to carry the load due to injuries to the other running backs, in 2015 it was Michel’s turn. Both answered the call and had their best seasons to date statistically.

Now in 2017, Chubb and Michel have been able to stay healthy for the second year in a row, carrying the team 1,625 yards and 19 touchdowns so far this year. It will be important for the duo to get back on track this Saturday after mustering only 48 yards together last week at Auburn. Though, the same scenario is taking place entering the Kentucky game as last year’s meeting in Lexington. The previous week against Florida, the duo had 22 yards combined, before adjusting the following week against the Wildcats and rushing for 212 yards together. Look for a similar scenario on Saturday as Kentucky’s defense comes in giving 404 yards and 25.7 points per game which is ranked 58th in the country. I believe Kentucky’s only way to win this ballgame is through their Tailback Benny Snell, who has 1,013 yards and 15 touchdowns. If Georgia can limit his productivity, they should be able to cover the spread of 21 ½ points. My prediction is Georgia will win 34-14, and for the senior class to notch their 38th win with a real shot to reach 40 before the end of the season. My hope is for Chubb and Michel to each score a touchdown as well as Senior Safety Dominick Sanders to have 2 interceptions against Kentucky this Saturday, like he did during the 2015 game against the Cats. Sanders sits at 15 career interceptions and only needs 2 more to pass Jake Scott and Bacarri Rambo, whom share the school record at 16.
Congrats on UGA Paint Line celebrating 20 years!
https://www.dawgnation.com/football/georgia-football-uga-paint-line
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

#1 Georgia @ #10 Auburn 2017

IMG_2598

Photo by Bulldawg Illustrated

 For the 121st time, the Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry takes place on the gridiron. The two schools are only separated by 185 miles, resulting in many family feuds as well as recruits being sought after by both schools. The first meeting took place in 1892, with most meetings taking place in neutral-site Columbus until 1958. Starting in 1959, Georgia hosted Auburn in Athens on odd years through 2011. Due to Texas A&M and Missouri joining the SEC in 2012, the league office had to tweak the rivalry, making all SEC East teams play at their permanent SEC West rival during odd years. Had that change not been implemented in 2013, Georgia fans would not have had to live through the prayer at Jordan-Hare, as the game would have been in Athens and things most likely would have been different.
Though since that dreadful night for Dawg fans, Georgia has not lost to Auburn. They come into this game on a 3-game win streak, including last year’s upset in Athens against #8 Auburn 13-7. Auburn QB Sean White threw for just 27 yards as well as a pick six to Maurice Smith, Georgia’s lone touchdown of the game. Georgia can expect a bigger challenge this year, as Baylor transfer Jarrett Stidham is averaging 221 yards per game through the air for the Tigers. The Dawgs ability to prevent big plays through the air is the biggest key to the game, as the rush defense should be fine. Kerryon Johnson does come in with 15 rushing touchdowns, but also only averages 5.2 yards per carry, which would be 5th best among Georgia tailbacks. In addition, 11 of Johnson’s 15 touchdowns have been from 5 yards or less, so he will not be the home run threat like Josh Adams was from Notre Dame. It should also be mentioned that Auburn running back Kamryn Pettway is injured, which is a break for Georgia, not having to face him the past 2 seasons.
This has been labeled the biggest SEC game thus far during the 2017 season, featuring two top 10 teams. Auburn coach Gus Malzahn needs a victory to settle the angst of their fans losing 3 straight to both of their main rivals, Georgia and Alabama. With that said, I believe Georgia has the edge in players as well as coaching. It has mentioned many times this week, how Kirby Smart was passed on by Auburn in December 2012 for the head coaching job in favor of Gus Malzahn. I expect a motivated Smart to lead UGA to a 24-17 victory over Auburn a Jordan-Hare, a stadium they are 16-11-2 since their first meeting at Auburn in 1960. I see the stats being Fromm 160-175 yards 1 TD 1 INT, Chubb 80-95 yards 1 TD, & Michel 60-75 yards 1 TD.
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

Georgia vs South Carolina 2017

 

IMG_2548

Photo by Bulldawg Illustrated

For the first time since 1982, Georgia is ranked the #1 team in the country during the season. Coming off an impressive 42-7 win over Florida last week, (their biggest margin of victory over the Gators since, also 1982) the Dawgs look to continue their hot hand against the 6-2 Gamecocks. Obviously, there is the storyline of Will Muschamp vs Kirby Smart, former UGA secondary teammates facing one another. Though, they also have coached together at Valdosta State and at LSU with Nick Saban in 2004. Smart had the last laugh during their first meeting, winning 28-14 last year in Columbia behind Chubb & Michel both rushing for over 100 yards. This year, much of the same type of game is expected. Smart’s Dawgs are 8-0, but do not discount Muschamp’s Gamecocks, as they can still win the SEC East by winning out and Georgia losing against Auburn or Kentucky as well.
The only way I see South Carolina pulling off the upset tomorrow is through their Quarterback Jake Bentley making plays on third downs to extend drives, keeping Georgia’s high-powered offense off the field. Deebo Samuel and Rico Dowdle are both out for Carolina, limiting their big play options from skill players. Hayden Hurst can scare Georgia’s defense, but I do not believe Carolina has enough athletes to match Georgia’s #3 ranked total defense. I see Georgia covering the 24 ½ point spread, winning 38-10 behind Fromm throwing for stats close to 150-175 yards 2 TD’s, Chubb 95-110 yards 1 touchdown, & Michel 85-100 yards 1 Touchdown.
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

Georgia vs Florida 2017

IMG_2453Picture From Georgia Athletics 

The annual game in Jacksonville between bitter rivals resumes this weekend in Jacksonville between Georgia and Florida. The bitterness runs so deep that the two schools cannot agree on when the first meeting took place. Georgia claims it was 1904, while Florida disputes this and says 1915. Either way, neither can argue that Florida has dominated this series since 1990 when Steve Spurrier returned to his alma mater, Florida, after leading Duke to an ACC Championship. Since Spurrier’s first year in 1990, Florida has won 21 times and only lost 6 to Georgia.
Though, there seems to be a difference in outlook on this year’s matchup from Georgia fans. Many feel confident given the team’s 7-0 start this year as well as Florida’s recent struggles, losing two straight at home. For Georgia fans high hopes to turn into reality, first Georgia must eliminate any big passing plays from Gators Quarterback Felipe Franks. I believe the main way Florida stays in this game is his ability to make long throws on the Dawgs secondary, which has struggled in recent games (two 63 yards touchdown passes from Drew Lock to Emanuel Hall). The second key is for Georgia to not allow Florida’s special teams to make a big play. Remember in the 2014 game, Georgia came in a heavy favorite as well, while Florida was limping into Jacksonville. Though, Florida converted a 4th down fake FG for a touchdown to tie the game at 7, right after Georgia had recovered a fumble and failed to score to get up on Florida 14-0 and make them climb their way back. So even though Antonio Callaway will not be a dangerous option as the Gators punt returned like the past, Florida still has the athletes to score on any play. Finally, Jake Fromm needs to continue to stretch the field vertically. Florida will most likely load the box to stop Chubb and Company to make a freshman Quarterback beat them, so look for Jim Chaney to continue the out routes to Terry Godwin on third downs like many times previously this year.
Given all this information, as well as the off the field issues in Gainesville with nine Gator players involved in credit card fraud and Jim McElwain claiming death threats, all the momentum is tilting Georgia’s way. Plus, Georgia has the better players overall, resulting in the Vegas line being 14 ½ points. I see the score being 27-17 Georgia, as they pull away in the 4th quarter.
God Bless & Go Dawgs! Tyler Agee

Homecoming 2017: UGA vs Mizzou

IMG_2307

Image by Field Street Forum

The 1-4 Missouri Tigers head to Sanford Stadium this Saturday night for their 3rd meeting in Athens and 7th overall. The Bulldogs hold a 5-1 series lead, including three straight victories over the Tigers. Look no further than last year in Columbia when Georgia rallied for a 28-27 win behind the heroics of true freshman Quarterback Jacob Eason throwing a game-winning 20-yard touchdown pass to Isaiah McKenzie on 4th & 10. Though, things are different this time around. Jake Fromm, another true freshman Quarterback, is leading the Dawgs offense this year due to Jacob Eason’s injury as well as his play during this 6-0 start.
Something else that is different is the trajectory of these two programs, Missouri is trending downward after getting blown out by South Carolina in year two of Muschamp, Purdue in year one of Jeff Brohm after being a dumpster fire for several years, and finally Auburn whom many were questioning Gus Malzahn after their offensive performances against Clemson (6 points) & Mercer (24 points). To put into perspective, Auburn scored 51 points at Missouri, or more than twice what they scored at home against Mercer (24). All of this was after Barry Odom fired his defensive Coordinator DeMontie Cross on September 11th against South Carolina. It has caused some Missouri fans to already contemplate Odom’s future in year two, while on the other end of the spectrum Georgia fans are thrilled with Kirby Smart’s year two. Georgia’s offensive line is playing much better than it was during this matchup last year in Columbia. In addition, Georgia’s secondary is playing fundamentally sound with very few breakdowns like you saw in last year’s game. I do not expect Mizzou QB Drew Lock to throw for 376 yards and 3 touchdowns like he did last year.
Though, the main key to ensure a Georgia victory is to eliminate the Drew Lock to J’Mon Moore connection. Missouri does not matchup with Georgia from a talent standpoint, but this one connection can keep the Tigers in the game like it did last year when they connected for 8 catches 196 yards and 2 TD’s. If Georgia can shut this option down, I do not see how Missouri can win this game. Their talent level has significantly diminished from the Gary Pinkel teams of 2013 & 2014. On the other side, one could argue the 2017 Georgia team is more talented than the 2013 & 2014 Bulldog teams. That being said, I see this game being over by the third Quarter on Saturday night, with Georgia winning 48-13.
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

UGA @Van 2017

For the first time since the 2005 season, Georgia will travel to Nashville to face Vanderbilt, 5-0. Dawg fans can only hope for a similar outcome to the 2005 team that was also ranked #5 & 5-0 with SEC wins over Mississippi State (23-10) and Tennessee (27-14) in back to back games going into that October 15, 2005 matchup. Georgia went on to win that ballgame 34-17 against the Dores and carried that momentum all the way to an upset win the SEC Championship over LSU 34-14. So, looking at the 2017 team, who also comes into this game winning their last two games against Mississippi State & Tennessee, it is essential for Georgia to follow the same path as the last SEC Championship team.
The first thing that is similar is how well this secondary runs to the football to gang tackle the opposing players. Malkom Parrish, Aaron Davis, Deandre Baker, & company are the best tackling secondary I’ve seen since the 2005 Dawgs of Greg Blue, Tim Jennings, Demario Minter, and others. Also, this is the deepest/most experienced healthy backfield in my opinion since 2005 with Thomas Brown, Danny Ware, & Kregg Lumpkin. Finally, the Special Teams area is very similar to the 2005 team. Rodrigo Blankenship resembles Brandan Coutu, as well as Cameron Nizialek punting as well as Gordon Ely-Kelso did.
Given these similarities I expect Georgia to be motivated for this game. Yes, it’s a noon kickoff which can be tough to be energized for, but let us not forget Vanderbilt came into Athens last year and beat UGA 17-16 even though the Dawgs outgained Vandy 421-171 in total yards. Plus, it looks like this team is focused on not having a letdown like previous Georgia teams. Kirby Smart knows it is his job to not allow complacency, making sure that this team is not satisfied where they’re at right now. I believe Smart will continue doing a good job of this, with the team having another impressive performance. I see the final score being 34-7 Georgia with the defense finally giving up a touchdown in SEC play but still dominating.
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee

Georgia @ Tennessee 2017

IMG_2196Picture posted by Georgia Football Twitter Account

For the first time since 1995, Georgia will play at Neyland Stadium before October. The Dawgs and Vols will be meeting for the 47th time, Tennessee leading the series 23-21-2 thanks to two straight victories in the series. Though, it is Georgia that comes into this game with all of the momentum, 4-0 including last week’s win over #17 Mississippi State. While Tennessee enters the game 3-1, surviving against lowly UMass last week 17-13. That should not matter this weekend though, as every game between these two programs since 2011 has been decided by 8 points or less.
Given that stat, it is fitting that the Vegas line is Georgia by 7 ½, but for Georgia to become 5-0 they must do these three things to win. First, Tennessee’s main playmaker is their tailback John Kelly, who comes into the game with 450 yards and 6 touchdowns. So, it is paramount for Georgia to stop Kelly, something they’ve done to the leading rushers in the first four games. The second key for the game is special teams. That is one area that can keep the Vols in the game, just like it did in 2013. Georgia clearly had the better team that day, but a blocked punt for a Touchdown for Tennessee in the third quarter helped them stay in the game before losing to Georgia in Overtime. Therefore, it is important for Rodrigo Blankenship to continue notching touchbacks on kickoffs and Cameron Nizialek to continue his 44.5 yard average on punts to flip the field position. Finally, if Georgia can continue to run the football for over 200 yards in a game, they can control time of possession and grind out a win on the road. Tennessee has the worst rush defense in the SEC, though that is skewed somewhat due to facing Georgia Tech’s triple option in the opening game.
Come Saturday night around 8 PM when the game is over, I expect Georgia to prevail with a 27-14 win. My hope is for Nick Chubb to be the focal point of the game, having a stat line along the lines of 31 carries 207 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is returning to Neyland Stadium 2 years after his devastating knee injury on the first play, so here’s to hoping he gets the final laugh.
God Bless & Go Dawgs!
Tyler Agee